F1 2024 supercomputer snubs Lewis Hamilton as Max Verstappen's main rival named

03 January 2024 , 06:00

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Who will Max Verstappen's main rival in 2024 be? (Image: AFP via Getty Images)

Lewis Hamilton rarely came close to beating Max Verstappen in 2023 - but, to be fair, few others did either.

Sergio Perez and Carlos Sainz were the only drivers other than the Dutchman to win a race last year. And they did so just three times between them as Verstappen smashed records left, right and centre.

Hamilton finished the season as the top driver of all those not behind the wheel of an RB19. But he failed to win a race for the second campaign in a row, with Mercedes still some way behind Red Bull in terms of race pace.

And by the end of the season they seemed not to even be the team closest to the champions. McLaren made extraordinary progress on their car over the course of the year and, in the second half of the campaign, both Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri were regular podium contenders.

Ferrari were getting the odd look in as well, Sainz winning in Singapore and Charles Leclerc taking several pole positions. And even though Aston Martin had fallen away, Fernando Alonso still managed two podiums after the summer break.

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All of the above any maybe a few more will have dreams of toppling Verstappen in 2024. But it will be no mean feat, with Red Bull's advantage baked in for the upcoming campaign as a result of their historic dominance last term.

After crunching the numbers, analysing recent results and past Formula 1 trends, the OLBG supercomputer is inclined to agree. It gives Verstappen a 65 percent chance of a successful title defence in 2024 - for context, the next highest of any of his rivals is just 10 percent.

Interestingly, though Hamilton is not that person who the supercomputer believes has the best chance of ending the Red Bull racer's title streak. Instead, it is Norris who has been named as the most likely rival to Verstappen.

Hamilton is predicted to have the second-best chance of anyone other than the Dutchman to taste title glory in 2024. However, the seven-time world champion has been given just a six percent chance of securing his eighth crown.

Leclerc, Piastri and Hamilton's team-mate George Russell are next in line, but each have just a four percent chance of winning the title this year. Despite driving the other Red Bull, Perez's chances are rated at just three percent. Alonso has a two percent chance, while everyone else has just a one percent chance or less of beating Verstappen to glory.

Daniel Moxon