IMF upgrades UK growth forecast but warns about national insurance cuts and debt
The Washington-based fund also said the Bank of England should do more press conferences to explain its decisions, and the government should implement road charges to replace lost fuel duty revenue as electric cars become more predominant on UK roads.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said the UK economy is heading for a "soft landing" but reiterated its message to Jeremy Hunt that he should not have cut national insurance at the last two fiscal events.
In its annual check-up on the state of Britain’s economy, the Washington-based Fund also warned of a black hole in the public finances, with £30bn of spending cuts or tax rises needed to stabilise the national debt.
The fund raised its forecast for gross domestic product growth this year from 0.5% to 0.7%, saying: "The UK economy is approaching a soft landing, with a recovery in growth expected in 2024, strengthening in 2025."
It now expects inflation to come down to close to 2% in the coming months, and the Bank of England to cut interest rates by as much as three-quarters of a percent this year, and then another percentage point next year.
The chancellor welcomed the fund’s article IV report, saying: "Today’s report clearly shows that independent international economists agree that the UK economy has turned a corner and is on course for a soft landing.
"The IMF have upgraded our growth for this year and forecast we will grow faster than any other large European country over the next six years - so it is time to shake off some of the unjustified pessimism about our prospects."
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