18 October 2023 , 07:15
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The Met Office have issued its verdict on the weather for the rest of October after hopes were raised of a 'second' autumn heatwave.
While temperatures have been chilly and unsettled in recent times with the arrival of Storm Babet from across the Atlantic, new forecasts have suggested the mercury could climb up again in the next few days.
According to BBC weather, temperatures in London will hit 19C on Thursday, and could break 20C in some parts of southern England. Conditions however are forecast to settle to around the seasonal average next week, reports Birmingham Live, with a drop back down to around 15C.
The Met Office says weather will remain "average" as we head deeper into October, brushing aside any suggestion of beer garden weather. According to the Met Office, a heatwave is "when a location records a period of at least three consecutive days with daily maximum temperatures meeting or exceeding the heatwave temperature threshold".
Its long-range forecast reads: "This period will likely be characterised by the UK being stuck in a battleground between low pressure to the west or southwest, and high pressure over Scandinavia. Therefore the more likely outcome is for western areas to be wettest and eastern areas to see less rainfall, but with the boundary of that discrimination not clear cut.
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"Temperatures are likely to remain above average, given the predominantly southerly flow, although colder spells remain possible, especially if the high to the east becomes the more dominant player." The Met Office forecast for October 17 to 26 states temperatures "will probably return closer to average" during the period, adding conditions could become "perhaps warm in places".
It comes as the Met Office has upgraded a weather warning for rain in eastern Scotland to amber, as some areas could see more than a month's worth of rain in a few days. The warning is in place from 6am on Thursday to 6pm on Friday. Grahame Madge, from the Met Office, said winds coming from an unusual direction could cause different impacts.